Forecast Warns of Developing Gulf System: Does Debby Loom?

A slowly developing system in the Gulf of Mexico has weather forecasters urging residents from Mexico to Florida to pay attention to developments through the weekend and into the "early week time frame.”

At issue is a low-pressure system slowly developing, with the remnants of tropical storm Carlotta involved, according to a report late June 21 from The Weather Channel.

Systems developing in the Gulf of Mexica cause concern because the area is small and there is a history of quickly developing systems "getting quite strong and affecting the coast," according to the report.

Three scenarios were proposed as possibilities going through the weekend and into Monday, according to the report, viewed the night of June 21:

• A strong jet stream dips down over the Texas coast, resulting in a "relatively weak low-pressure system moving across Florida in the early week, no doubt bringing quite a bit of rain, but not being very strong."

• A tropical storm or hurricane develops, with the jet stream remaining much farther to the north, but nevertheless dipping far enough south to "nudge" the system to the northeast, causing a tremendous rain and dangerous winds and conditions across Florida.

• The best-case scenario for Florida: the jet stream stays far north, causing a strong system in the central Gulf that misses a northeast pull and moves the system toward the Texas coast.